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How much electricity would solar panels make on your Chester roof?

A south-facing roof in Chester gets most out of panels, but it is not the only roof worth using. We ran the European Commission’s solar model for the city for eight directions and seven pitches. Here are the results, an estimator built on them, and what they leave out.

Last reviewed · Published by SEO-DONS LTD · How we check facts

Tool · roof output

What would panels make on a Chester roof?

Pick the way your roof faces, its pitch and a system size. The figures come from 56 runs of the EU’s PVGIS model for Chester (PVGIS-SARAH3 sunlight data, 2005-2023), with 14% allowed for cable, inverter and dirt losses. Shade from trees, chimneys and neighbouring buildings is not included.

3,836 kWh a year

959 kWh per kWp · 100% of the best Chester roof (south, 40°)

An estimate for an unshaded roof, not a quote. An MCS installer must give you their own performance estimate for your roof before you sign.

The Chester table: every direction and pitch

The table below is the full grid behind the estimator: kilowatt-hours a year for each kWp of panels, from PVGIS 5.3 for a point in central Chester (53.19° N, 2.89° W), using PVGIS-SARAH3 sunlight data for 2005-2023 and allowing 14% for losses in cables, the inverter and dirt on the glass. The highest figure is shaded darker.

kWh per kWp per year, Chester, unshaded. PVGIS 5.3 runs on 2026-11-03.
Roof faces10°20°30°35°40°45°50°
South867919951959962959951
South-east845879897901899893882
South-west846881900903902896886
East792782767757744729712
West793784770760748734716
North-east737676619592566539513
North-west738678622595569544518
North714635557518479442406

Three things stand out. South-facing roofs barely care about pitch between 30° and 45°: the spread is under 1%. East and west roofs are within a few kilowatt-hours of each other and prefer a shallower pitch. North-facing roofs lose ground fast as the pitch steepens, from 714 kWh at 10° to 406 at 50°.

What the figures leave out

PVGIS models an open roof. Chester roofs are rarely that simple, and four things commonly pull a real system below the table.

  1. Chimney stacks. Victorian and Edwardian terraces in Hoole, Boughton and Handbridge often have stacks on the party walls. A stack shades part of the roof for part of the day, and with a basic string inverter one shaded panel can drag down its neighbours. Optimisers or microinverters limit that; ask how a quote handles it.
  2. Neighbouring buildings and trees. Tall trees around Curzon Park, Queens Park and the river, and taller buildings in the city centre, cast long shadows when the sun is low. The effect is largest from November to February.
  3. Roof shape. Hips, dormers, valleys and roof lights cut the usable area, which limits the system size rather than the output per kWp.
  4. Equipment. Panel temperature, inverter efficiency and degradation over the years all matter. The 14% loss allowance covers typical cases, not every one.

What a Chester roof makes, month by month

Bar chart: monthly output of 1 kWp in Chester on a south roof at 40 degrees, from about 32 kWh in December to about 121 kWh in May.
PVGIS monthly output for 1 kWp, south, 40°. The estimator above redraws this for any direction and pitch.

Output peaks from April to August and is lowest in December and January. That matters for how much of it you use at home: in summer a typical array makes more than a household uses in daylight, in winter less. Our winter output guide looks at the dark months in detail.

Turning kilowatt-hours into value

We do not print a savings figure, because it depends on things only you know. Each unit you use in the house is one you do not buy at your import rate; each unit you export earns your chosen Smart Export Guarantee tariff, which differs between suppliers and requires an MCS-certified installation (Ofgem’s SEG guidance). Households that run appliances in daylight, work from home, heat water with surplus power or add a battery use more of their own output.

To work out your own figure, take the estimator’s annual total, decide how much of it you would use yourself, and price that at the unit rate on your bill; price the rest at an export tariff you could actually get. Then compare that with a real quote from the cost guide.

Using the numbers with an installer

Before you sign, an MCS installer must give you a performance estimate for your roof using the MCS method. Put it next to this page. If the installer’s figure is far above the PVGIS figure for your direction and pitch, ask how they got there. If it is well below, ask what shading they have allowed for, because that is the honest reason and you should understand it. The installer guide lists the other questions to ask, and the Chester homes guide shows which roofs are typical in each part of the city.

In the city’s conservation areas a rear slope is often the easier choice, and the table shows what that costs: compare the figure for the rear slope’s direction with the front’s. The guide to conservation areas in Chester explains when a front slope is still allowed and what the siting condition asks for.

Output questions from Chester homeowners

Is Chester sunny enough for solar panels?

Yes. PVGIS, which models sunlight from satellite data, puts a south-facing roof at 40° in Chester at about 962 kWh a year for each kWp of panels. Panels work on daylight, including the diffuse light of a cloudy day, so output falls in winter but does not stop.

Is an east or west roof worth using?

It makes about 79% of the best Chester figure at a 35° pitch, and it spreads output into the morning or the evening, which can suit a household that is out in the middle of the day. Many Chester semis and terraces have one roof facing east and the other west; using both is common.

What about a north-facing roof?

At 35° a north-facing roof in Chester makes about 54% of the best figure, and less at steeper pitches. A shallow north slope does better than a steep one. An installer should tell you plainly if the figures do not justify panels there.

Why does my installer’s estimate differ from this tool?

MCS installers must give you their own performance estimate using the MCS method, which applies a shading factor for your roof and its own sunlight data. This tool uses PVGIS for an unshaded roof in central Chester. Differences of a few per cent are normal; a much higher installer figure deserves a question.

Sources for this page

Read at source on 3 November 2026. If something has changed, tell us through the form and we will correct it.

  1. Photovoltaic Geographical Information System (PVGIS 5.3) · European Commission Joint Research Centre
  2. Smart Export Guarantee (SEG) · Ofgem
  3. Find an MCS certified installer · MCS

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